Kapfenberger SV 2-1 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.07
1/2 EV+
7%
22.7
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
12%
6.59
X/2
16%
5.25
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
18%
2.98
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.45/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.60
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2023 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
07.10.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
04.03.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
14.08.2021 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-3 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
07.05.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
04.12.2020 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-3 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2-1
AWAY Rapid Wien II
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV squeezed past Rapid Wien II 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 45% of the ball to Rapid Wien II's 55%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.17 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Rapid Wien II?

Kapfenberger SV 2-1 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 32%, draw 27%, Rapid Wien II 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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