Floridsdorfer AC 1-1 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.0
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.82
X/2
10%
6.43
X/X
14%
4.97
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
12%
4.48
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floridsdorfer AC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.57/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.76
-1% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +104%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floridsdorfer AC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
19.04.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 0-2 HT 0-1 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
30.09.2023 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 1-2 HT 1-2 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
POST-MATCH Floridsdorfer AC vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floridsdorfer AC and Bregenz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Floridsdorfer AC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.00 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of Floridsdorfer AC vs Bregenz?

Floridsdorfer AC 1-1 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floridsdorfer AC vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floridsdorfer AC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Floridsdorfer AC 46%, draw 27%, Bregenz 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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