Grazer AK 1-1 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 Apr 2026

Grazer AK
1-1 HT 0-0
Ried
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Grazer AK vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.48
2-3 Goals
48%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.67
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
16%
5.31
X/2
13%
5.96
X/X
16%
3.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
32.0
2/2
14%
4.39
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 6% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grazer AK v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.07/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.68
-26% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.3 Crosses 12.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Grazer AK vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ried
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 0.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
197 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2026 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU
27.09.2025 Ried Ried 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
29.03.2024 Ried Ried 0-1 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
01.09.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
10.06.2020 Grazer AK Grazer AK 4-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
23.08.2019 Ried Ried 1-2 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2

Grazer AK 1-1 Ried — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-1
AWAY Ried
0.77 xG 2.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
224 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Ried couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 46% of the ball to Ried's 54%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.77 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Grazer AK and 0.67 for Ried.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Ried?

Grazer AK 1-1 Ried in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 38%, draw 31%, Ried 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grazer AK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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