Neptüna Klaipeda 1-3 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.95
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA The Market 22%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.43 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.33
0.95 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.91
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
4W-2D-0L
AWAY BFA
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 BFA BFA 1-5 HT 1-3 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
13.06.2025 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
30.08.2024 BFA BFA 0-5 HT 0-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
05.04.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-2 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
30.09.2023 BFA BFA 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
13.05.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
REVIEW Neptüna Klaipeda vs BFA
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

BFA had too much for Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Neptüna Klaipeda carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. At 1.82 (~55%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.83 for BFA.

Neptüna Klaipeda vs BFA Result & Final Score

Neptüna Klaipeda 1-3 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Neptüna Klaipeda vs BFA Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 58%, draw 21%, BFA 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →