BFA 1-5 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
52%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
52%
Away Win
46%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.50/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.01
+14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
30.08.2024 BFA BFA 0-5 HT 0-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
05.04.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-2 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
30.09.2023 BFA BFA 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
13.05.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
07.10.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda cruised past BFA 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BFA and 2.17 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of BFA vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

BFA 1-5 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split BFA 26%, draw 23%, Neptüna Klaipeda 52%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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