Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
57%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.40/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.49
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +109%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Babrungas
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2025 Babrungas Babrungas 3-1 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
09.08.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 3-1 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
16.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
31.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
14.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas nicked a narrow win over Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Babrungas?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 19%, draw 24%, Babrungas 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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