Atmosfera vs Nevezis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atmosfera v Nevezis — Team-Based Signals
Atmosfera vs Nevezis Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Nevezis
LIT1
1-0
HT 0-0
Atmosfera
LIT1
Atmosfera 4-1 Nevezis — Actual Match Statistics
Atmosfera ran out comfortable winners over Nevezis 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Atmosfera had 52% of the ball to Nevezis's 48%, shots finished 15-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atmosfera and 1.20 for Nevezis.
What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Nevezis?
Atmosfera 4-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Nevezis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 60%, draw 22%, Nevezis 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.