Minija 0-1 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.08/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.65
-24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +124%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.06.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 0-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
19.08.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-2 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LIT1
01.04.2023 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 2-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava edged past Minija 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Lietava Jonava made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Minija and 0.33 for Lietava Jonava.

What was the final score of Minija vs Lietava Jonava?

Minija 0-1 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Minija 38%, draw 29%, Lietava Jonava 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Minija), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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