Ujpest 7-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.60/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.1 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
441 Passes 200
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2026 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
26.09.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 2-2 HT 2-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
16.05.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 2-2 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
22.02.2025 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.10.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
08.05.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-4 HT 1-3 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
7-2
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.29 xG 1.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
273 Passes 198
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest swept aside Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 7-2. Half-time: 3-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Ujpest made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ujpest had 58% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 42%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.29 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ujpest and 1.17 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Ujpest 7-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 38%, draw 26%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 36%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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