FC Dornbirn 1913 3-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.22
X/2
14%
6.48
X/X
9%
5.48
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
11%
4.07
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dornbirn 1913 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 36%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.11/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.82
-32% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dornbirn 1913
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
26.09.2023 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 2-3 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVK
29.04.2023 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
23.07.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
03.04.2022 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 3-4 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
11.09.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
POST-MATCH FC Dornbirn 1913 vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dornbirn 1913 got the better of St. Pölten 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day FC Dornbirn 1913 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Dornbirn 1913 and 2.33 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of FC Dornbirn 1913 vs St. Pölten?

FC Dornbirn 1913 3-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dornbirn 1913 vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dornbirn 1913 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Dornbirn 1913 38%, draw 25%, St. Pölten 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dornbirn 1913), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dornbirn 1913) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
17 May 2024
19:10 Lafnitz vs Admira Wacker Analysis →
19:10 First Vienna vs Kapfenberger SV Analysis →
19:10 SV Horn vs Floridsdorfer AC Analysis →
19:10 Stripfing vs Grazer AK Analysis →
19:10 Leoben vs Bregenz Analysis →
19:10 Ried vs Sturm Graz II Analysis →