17/05/2024
·
19:10
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Leoben vs Bregenz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0
— our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
Value flag · X/X at 6.48
— our 20% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
33%
Draw
20%
16%
Away Win
14%
59%
Under 2.5
44%
41%
Over 2.5
56%
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
49%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leoben v Bregenz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leoben
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bregenz
EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
2.72/0.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.12/1.13
+29%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+5%
/
+75%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
372 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0
–
Crosses
12.0
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Leoben vs Bregenz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Leoben
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Bregenz
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
65%
Ball Possession
35%
18
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
2
9
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
05.11.2023
Bregenz
0-0
HT 0-0
Leoben
AU2
0-0
HT 0-0
Leoben
AU2
POST-MATCH
Leoben vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leoben saw off Bregenz 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leoben as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Leoben vs Bregenz?
Leoben 2-0 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leoben vs Bregenz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leoben 51%, draw 33%, Bregenz 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leoben), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Leoben)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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AU2
More Austria - 1st Division
17 May 2024