CF Montreal 1-6 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 May 2025

CF Montreal
1-6 HT 0-3
Toronto FC
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.37
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.32
X/2
11%
8.74
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
11%
6.95
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Montreal v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.64/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.79
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.8 Crosses 11.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Toronto FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.97 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
433 Passes 383
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
19.05.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 5-1 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
21.08.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-3 HT 0-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.05.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
05.09.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-4 HT 2-3 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
17.07.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD

CF Montreal 1-6 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-6
AWAY Toronto FC
2.01 xG 2.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
334 Passes 485
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toronto FC cruised past CF Montreal 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 43% of the ball to Toronto FC's 57%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.01 to 2.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CF Montreal and 1.83 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?

CF Montreal 1-6 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 46%, draw 25%, Toronto FC 30%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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