New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
CONLK
1-0
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC got the better of New York Red Bulls 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, New York City FC had 36% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 64%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York City FC and 1.00 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 51%, draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.