Grazer AK 1-0 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
0.94/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.01
-20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 70%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.1 Crosses 16.6
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY LASK Linz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 453
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
16.02.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
21.09.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-2 HT 2-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-0
AWAY LASK Linz
1.36 xG 0.46
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
189 Passes 423
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK edged past LASK Linz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 35% of the ball to LASK Linz's 65%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.36 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grazer AK and 1.67 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs LASK Linz?

Grazer AK 1-0 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 26%, draw 27%, LASK Linz 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LASK Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Under 2.5
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