Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
5-0
HT 4-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
Hartberg 3-2 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics
Hartberg edged past Swarovski Tirol 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hartberg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Hartberg had 49% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 51%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 2.63 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hartberg's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hartberg and 0.33 for Swarovski Tirol.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol?
Hartberg 3-2 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 45%, draw 26%, Swarovski Tirol 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.