Real Tomayapo 3-3 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.51/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.69
-31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.0 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Tomayapo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 269
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
08.08.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 3-2 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
25.11.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
21.10.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
20.04.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Tomayapo
3-3
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.79 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
256 Passes 169
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo and Independiente Petrolero shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Tomayapo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Tomayapo had 57% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 43%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 2.79 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Tomayapo and 1.17 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Real Tomayapo 3-3 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Tomayapo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Tomayapo 45%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Tomayapo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Tomayapo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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