Nacional Potosi 3-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.67/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.37
+15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.9 Crosses 14.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aurora
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
15.09.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-3 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
14.03.2024 Aurora Aurora 4-1 HT 3-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
03.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
22.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
20.02.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
3-1
AWAY Aurora
1.53 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
283 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi got the better of Aurora 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 57% of the ball to Aurora's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.53 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.67 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Aurora?

Nacional Potosi 3-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 50%, draw 21%, Aurora 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✗ BTTS No
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