Aurora 1-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
2.03/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
+15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
28.3 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.66 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
234 Passes 304
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-3 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
14.03.2024 Aurora Aurora 4-1 HT 3-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
03.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
22.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
20.02.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
10.09.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-5 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.14 xG 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
253 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
48 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora and Nacional Potosi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aurora at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aurora had 47% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 53%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.14 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aurora and 1.33 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Nacional Potosi?

Aurora 1-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aurora 43%, draw 27%, Nacional Potosi 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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