Santa Cruz 1-5 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.5pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.2pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.09/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
202 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 81%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
08.04.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
18.02.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
17.07.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
12.02.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
30.09.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
1-5
AWAY Real Tomayapo
0.86 xG 2.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 10
10 Corners 4
296 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo ran out comfortable winners over Santa Cruz 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Tomayapo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 54% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 46%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.86 to 2.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Cruz and 1.33 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Real Tomayapo?

Santa Cruz 1-5 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Tomayapo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 26%, draw 32%, Real Tomayapo 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Tomayapo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Tomayapo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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