JaPS 1-1 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 17 May 2025

JaPS
1-1 HT 0-0
JIPPO
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.96 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+1.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.01/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.76
-13% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
0W-1D-5L
AWAY JIPPO
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 JaPS JaPS 1-2 JIPPO JIPPO FINYK
05.10.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-4 HT 0-2 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
10.07.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 3-2 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
12.05.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-5 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
03.03.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-2 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINYK
12.10.2019 JIPPO JIPPO 8-1 HT 2-1 JaPS JaPS FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
1-1
AWAY JIPPO
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JaPS vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS and JIPPO shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was JIPPO at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, JaPS had 45% of the ball to JIPPO's 55%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JIPPO led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for JaPS and 4.00 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of JaPS vs JIPPO?

JaPS 1-1 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated an JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split JaPS 25%, draw 23%, JIPPO 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JIPPO), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JIPPO) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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