FCSB 1-0 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.52/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.14
+26% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
14.8 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
09.03.2025 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
18.12.2024 FCSB FCSB 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
03.11.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
06.05.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
07.04.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-0
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.63 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB edged past Universitatea Craiova 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FCSB had 52% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 48%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.63 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FCSB and 0.83 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova?

FCSB 1-0 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FCSB 41%, draw 30%, Universitatea Craiova 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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