ND Primorje 2-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 28% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.35/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.37
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mura
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
30.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.09.2024 Mura Mura 4-0 HT 2-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
2-0
AWAY Mura
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje beat Mura 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ND Primorje as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ND Primorje had 45% of the ball to Mura's 55%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mura led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ND Primorje and 2.33 for Mura.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Mura?

ND Primorje 2-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a ND Primorje win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 41%, draw 29%, Mura 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ND Primorje), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ND Primorje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
17 May 2025
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