CD Aguilas 2-1 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.78/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.24
+2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Utebo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 Utebo Utebo 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
2-1
AWAY Utebo
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas squeezed past Utebo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Aguilas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 44% of the ball to Utebo's 56%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Utebo?

CD Aguilas 2-1 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 52%, draw 24%, Utebo 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Aguilas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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