Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Real Jaen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.14/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.27
-7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Jaen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.05.2026 Real Jaen Real Jaen 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0-1
AWAY Real Jaen
28% Ball Possession 72%
2 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Jaen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Jaen nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 28% of the ball to Real Jaen's 72%, shots finished 2-21.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Jaen?

Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Real Jaen in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Jaen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 44%, draw 29%, Real Jaen 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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