SD Logrones 1-0 Castellon II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Castellon II EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.84/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.98
-36% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SD Logrones
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Castellon II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2026 Castellon II 2-3 HT 0-1 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SD Logrones
1-0
AWAY Castellon II
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SD Logrones vs Castellon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones nicked a narrow win over Castellon II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SD Logrones had 40% of the ball to Castellon II's 60%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of SD Logrones vs Castellon II?

SD Logrones 1-0 Castellon II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SD Logrones vs Castellon II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SD Logrones 46%, draw 25%, Castellon II 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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