Poblense 2-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poblense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.11/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.80
-16% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poblense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Numancia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2026 Numancia Numancia 0-1 HT 0-0 Poblense Poblense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Poblense
2-1
AWAY Numancia
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Poblense vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poblense edged past Numancia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Poblense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Poblense had 43% of the ball to Numancia's 57%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Poblense vs Numancia?

Poblense 2-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poblense vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poblense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Poblense 45%, draw 27%, Numancia 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poblense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poblense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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