Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.54/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.94
+16% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
21.9 Crosses 24.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lazio (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.91 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
293 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2026 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
25.01.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
19.10.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-2 HT 1-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2-1
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.68 xG 0.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
281 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) nicked a narrow win over Lazio (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 45% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 55%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.68 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lazio (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 2.33 for Lazio (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 49%, draw 23%, Lazio (K) 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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