Thor Akureyri 1-2 İA Akranes — Result, Stats & Model Review (Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 May 2026)

Thor Akureyri

1-2 HT 0-1

İA Akranes

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗

Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2026

Thor Akureyri vs İA Akranes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

35%

2.94

Draw

24%

3.72

Away

41%

1.98

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44%

Over 2.5

56%

Both Teams to Score

Yes

57%

1.38

43%

2.81

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

23%

2-3 Goals

39%

4-5 Goals

26%

6+ Goals

12%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

23%

1/2

13%

1/X

X/1

X/2

15%

X/X

2/1

2/2

14%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

35%

Home Win

30%

+4.8pp

24%

Draw

23%

+0.3pp

41%

Away Win

46%

-5.1pp

57%

BTTS Yes

68%

-11.3pp

43%

BTTS No

32%

+11.3pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v İA Akranes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 34%

Head to Head

AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 50%

-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%

0.65/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.61

-67% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +42%

45% Ball Possession 55%

11 Total Shots 15

5 Shots on Target 6

5 Corners 5

217 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%

13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8

20.0 Crosses 29.7

1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Thor Akureyri vs İA Akranes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Thor Akureyri

1W-1D-4L

AWAY İA Akranes

1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17

48% Ball Possession 52%

12 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Target 7

5 Corners 4

2 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

07.02.2026 İA Akranes

1-1 HT 0-0

Thor Akureyri İZLK

02.09.2023 Thor Akureyri

2-3 HT 1-2

İA Akranes İZL1

29.06.2023 İA Akranes

4-0 HT 1-0

Thor Akureyri İZL1

12.02.2022 İA Akranes

3-1 HT 2-0

Thor Akureyri İZLK

26.02.2015 Thor Akureyri

1-2 HT 0-1

İA Akranes İZLK

22.09.2013 Thor Akureyri

1-0 HT 1-0

İA Akranes İZL

Thor Akureyri 1-2 İA Akranes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Thor Akureyri

1-2

AWAY İA Akranes

1.14 xG 1.63

54% Ball Possession 46%

16 Total Shots 14

5 Shots on Target 6

7 Corners 13

311 Passes 253

77% Pass Accuracy 73%

26 Box Touches 27

28 Crosses 34

4 Yellow Cards 4

FAQ Thor Akureyri vs İA Akranes

Match summary & frequently asked questions

İA Akranes edged past Thor Akureyri 2-1 away from home in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Thor Akureyri had 54% of the ball to İA Akranes's 46%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.14 to 1.63.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.17 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

Thor Akureyri 1-2 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated an İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 35%, draw 24%, İA Akranes 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →

Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →

İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild

17 May 2026

16:00 İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Vikingur R. Analysis →

20:00 FH Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri Analysis →

20:30 Keflavik vs Stjarnan Analysis →

21:15 Valur vs Breidablik Analysis →

21:15 KR Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik Analysis →