Keflavik 1-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.44/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.61
-35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
21.7 Crosses 21.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.25 xG 1.42
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
210 Passes 454
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2026 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
18.06.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 HT 3-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
25.02.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-4 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
03.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
11.06.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
18.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
1-1
AWAY Stjarnan
2.08 xG 2.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
250 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
52 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Keflavik vs Stjarnan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Keflavik and Stjarnan shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, Keflavik had 47% of the ball to Stjarnan's 53%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.08 to 2.39.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Keflavik and 2.50 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Stjarnan?

Keflavik 1-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 34%, draw 27%, Stjarnan 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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