Valur 3-2 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.0pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.79/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.34
+20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
17.8 Crosses 23.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Breidablik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
290 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
10.08.2025 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
19.05.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
06.10.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
15.08.2024 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-3 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
POST-MATCH Valur vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur edged past Breidablik 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valur and 1.67 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Breidablik?

Valur 3-2 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valur 33%, draw 23%, Breidablik 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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