Valur 1-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.96
Over 2.5
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.47
2-3 Goals
39%
2.12
4-5 Goals
26%
2.37
6+ Goals
11%
4.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.6pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +24%
2.11/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.31
+19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.7 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Breidablik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.67 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
290 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
19.05.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
06.10.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
15.08.2024 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.05.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-3 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
28.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-2 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
1-1
AWAY Breidablik
2.59 xG 1.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 11
310 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and Breidablik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 20% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 54% of the ball to Breidablik's 46%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 2.59 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valur and 1.83 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Breidablik?

Valur 1-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Valur 39%, draw 20%, Breidablik 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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