Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arminia Bielefeld v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Hertha Berlin
AL1
2-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Hertha Berlin
AL1
4-1
HT 1-0
Arminia Bielefeld
HAZ
Arminia Bielefeld 6-1 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Arminia Bielefeld cruised past Hertha Berlin 6-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 52% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 48%, shots finished 27-10, expected goals 4.99 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.33 for Hertha Berlin.
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin?
Arminia Bielefeld 6-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 54%, draw 22%, Hertha Berlin 24%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.