Greuther Fürth 3-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.74
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
18%
5.2
X/2
8%
7.26
X/X
12%
5.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.15
2/2
18%
4.59
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.63/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.61
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.3 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
28.02.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
27.09.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
20.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.11.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
18.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
3-0
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.99 xG 0.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
201 Passes 456
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth cruised past Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greuther Fürth as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 34% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 66%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.99 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.17 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Greuther Fürth 3-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 42%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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