Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Dec 2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-1 HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.7
X/2
11%
8.86
X/X
11%
5.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.7
2/2
11%
6.15
2/X
7%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.74/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
+12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.6 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
395 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
27.09.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
20.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.11.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
18.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
14.08.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-1
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.82 xG 1.37
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 Passes 559
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 35% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 65%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.82 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.33 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 48%, draw 25%, Greuther Fürth 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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