Darmstadt 98 0-2 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.49/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.04
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
19.0 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paderborn
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2025 Paderborn Paderborn 2-2 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
26.01.2025 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.08.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 3-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
09.04.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
30.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 1-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
15.05.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-0 HT 3-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
0-2
AWAY Paderborn
2.28 xG 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
335 Passes 342
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
42 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn saw off Darmstadt 98 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 50% of the ball to Paderborn's 50%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.28 to 1.83 — on chances, Darmstadt 98 could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.33 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Paderborn?

Darmstadt 98 0-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 31%, draw 22%, Paderborn 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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