Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒10:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 24% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.31
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.25
X/2
11%
8.76
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.95
2/2
12%
7.03
2/X
5%
15.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.4pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.78/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.51
+20% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.5 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
410 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
25.10.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
20.09.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 HT 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
27.06.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
16.02.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
14.07.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
1-0
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
409 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors edged past Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jeonbuk Motors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 59% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 41%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 2.00 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 48%, draw 25%, Gimcheon Sangmu 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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