Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.65
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.0
X/1
16%
5.03
X/2
10%
7.58
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.5
2/2
9%
5.01
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.5 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.35
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.7 Crosses 18.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.34 xG 1.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
357 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
16.02.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
14.07.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
25.05.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
03.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
1-2
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
472 Passes 333
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu nicked a narrow win over Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonbuk Motors at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 58% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 42%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.50 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 48%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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