Daejeon Citizen 3-2 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
13%
9.03
X/X
10%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.5
2/2
9%
6.56
2/X
5%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 26%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.52/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.73
-5% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Daegu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 Passes 408
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
08.03.2025 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 0-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
27.10.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
27.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
02.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
21.04.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3-2
AWAY Daegu
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen edged past Daegu 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Daejeon Citizen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 44% of the ball to Daegu's 56%, shots finished 10-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 0.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu?

Daejeon Citizen 3-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 51%, draw 22%, Daegu 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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