Iwaki 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 30%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.49/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.24
-60% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
140 Passes 129
61% Pass Accuracy 52%
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2-3
07.08.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
26.06.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-1
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
191 Passes 125
64% Pass Accuracy 57%
31 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Iwaki vs Matsumoto Yamaga
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Iwaki and Matsumoto Yamaga shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the JAP2-3 on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Iwaki had 58% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 42%, shots finished 24-11.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Iwaki and 1.33 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Iwaki 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the JAP2-3 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 41%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Iwaki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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