Kataller Toyama 2-2 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.81/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+57% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.2 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
390 Passes 381
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2026 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-3 HT 1-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2-3
28.09.2025 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-3 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
26.04.2025 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-2
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
390 Passes 429
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kataller Toyama and Tokushima Vortis shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the JAP2-3 on 17 May 2026. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 48% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 52%, shots finished 19-17.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.67 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Kataller Toyama 2-2 Tokushima Vortis in the JAP2-3 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 47%, draw 22%, Tokushima Vortis 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kataller Toyama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ BTTS Yes
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