Omiya Ardija 1-2 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.51
Over 2.5
68%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
15%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
68%
+2.1pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.0pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
36%
-4.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
64%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 17%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.58/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.40
+46% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.2 Crosses 14.3
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 Passes 293
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
28.02.2026 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2-3
11.09.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
24.08.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
01.06.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 4-1 HT 1-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
06.06.2018 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-2
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
391 Passes 158
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Parceiro Nagano edged past Omiya Ardija 2-1 away from home in the JAP2-3 on 17 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 68% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 65% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 35%, shots finished 13-13.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Omiya Ardija and 0.40 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano?

Omiya Ardija 1-2 Parceiro Nagano in the JAP2-3 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 70%, draw 15%, Parceiro Nagano 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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