MIO Biwako Shiga 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
7%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 45%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 24.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
240 Passes 498
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
28.02.2026 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-1 MIO Biwako Shiga MIO Biwako Shiga JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga
1-0
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
215 Passes 393
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MIO Biwako Shiga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MIO Biwako Shiga edged past Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Giravanz Kitakyushu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, MIO Biwako Shiga had 42% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 58%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of MIO Biwako Shiga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

MIO Biwako Shiga 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the JAP2-3 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MIO Biwako Shiga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MIO Biwako Shiga 31%, draw 27%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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