Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 Altay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Altay EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.40/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.00
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altay edged past Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kyzyl-Zhar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?

Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 Altay in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 43%, draw 26%, Altay 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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