Kaisar 2-1 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 17 May 2026

Kaisar
2-1 HT 2-1
Tobol
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.3pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
0.77/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.07
-26% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tobol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13.05.2026 Kaisar Kaisar 1-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
28.09.2025 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
15.06.2025 Kaisar Kaisar 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
10.11.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 2-0 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
01.06.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
13.04.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 0-3 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
FAQ Kaisar vs Tobol
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kaisar edged past Tobol 2-1 in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17 May 2026.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kaisar and 1.17 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Tobol?

Kaisar 2-1 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 29%, draw 32%, Tobol 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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