Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
64%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
2.04/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.53
+8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13.05.2026 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
20.07.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
19.04.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
28.07.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
01.06.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 3-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
01.10.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent edged past Zhetysu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 0.67 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 65%, draw 20%, Zhetysu 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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