Zhetysu 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.3pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 54%
-22% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
0.61/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.67
-30% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.04.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
28.07.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
01.06.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 3-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
01.10.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.03.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
27.06.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu squeezed past Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zhetysu and 2.00 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Zhetysu 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 26%, draw 33%, Ordabasy Shymkent 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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