Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.7pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.39
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.04.2025 Atyrau Atyrau 1-2 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
20.10.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-2 HT 1-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
27.04.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 2-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
16.09.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
08.04.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
15.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-1 HT 2-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau squeezed past Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kyzyl-Zhar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.00 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau?

Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 43%, draw 34%, Atyrau 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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