Atyrau 1-2 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.03
No
65%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.7pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
45%
-10.0pp
65%
BTTS No
55%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.19/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.73
+5% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
20.10.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-2 HT 1-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
27.04.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 2-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
16.09.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
08.04.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
15.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-1 HT 2-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
14.05.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 3-3 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar edged past Atyrau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kyzyl-Zhar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atyrau and 1.67 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Atyrau 1-2 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 33%, draw 34%, Kyzyl-Zhar 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
19 Apr 2025
13:00 Ulytau vs Okzhetpes Analysis →
15:00 Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu Analysis →
17:00 Tobol vs Aktobe Analysis →