Tobol 2-0 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

Tobol
2-0 HT 1-0
Aktobe
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.33/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.13
-4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Aktobe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2 Corners 3
22.09.2024 Tobol Tobol 3-0 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
30.06.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 3-4 HT 1-2 Tobol Tobol KAZP
20.08.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.04.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-2 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
15.10.2022 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
16.07.2022 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 2-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol beat Aktobe 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Tobol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tobol and 1.17 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Aktobe?

Tobol 2-0 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tobol 36%, draw 31%, Aktobe 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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