Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.68/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.55
-12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Zhetysu
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.07.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
01.06.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 3-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
01.10.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.03.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
27.06.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
19.04.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-4 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent edged past Zhetysu 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 0.50 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 55%, draw 27%, Zhetysu 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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